Philadelphia Phillies (@2.15) vs Cincinnati Reds (@1.66)

Our Prediction:

Cincinnati Reds will win

Philadelphia Phillies – Cincinnati Reds Match Prediction | 03-09-2019 18:40

Philadelphia Phillies will hit the road to square-off against Cincinnati Reds on Thursday from Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Philadelphia Phillies have declined to six games below the .500 mark after their starting pitcher Aaron Nola struggled from the mound against Cincinnati Reds. Realmuto smashed a two-run shot in a losing effort for Philadelphia. From the batting side, J.T. The Phillies gave up eight runs from the plate and the Reds restricted them to five runs.

With Andrew McCutchen out for the season, Bruce should be expected to get a bulk of playing time in the outfield and his presence should rejuvenate the lineup as it has the past two games especially. Philadelphia has been playing good baseball again, aided by the serendipitous timing of their signing of Jay Bruce. Bruce has played just three games for the Phillies but he already has three home runs, including a grand slam, five runs, even RBI and a .545 batting average.

PHI (.646 OPS against, .107 ISO allowed). Things to like on the checklist for this one against Philadelphia: starting at home (where hes been good in two starts since coming over from the Cleveland Indians), PHI on the road (.697 OPS in the second half headed into this series), the Phillies against RHP (subpar .739 OPS), Bauer vs. Bauer was beaten up around the margins in logging an 8.40 ERA, 1.70 WHIP in the month of August.


They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.62. Starting pitcher Vince Velasquez has a 6-7 record with an earned run average of 4.86 and a WHIP of 1.33 this season. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. He's allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.33. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.69 and they have given up 487 base hits on the year. The Phillies have a 70-65 overall record this season. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 445 batters and struck out 1,129. Teams are hitting .264 against the bullpen and they've struck out 466 hitters and walked 190 batters. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 1,232 base hits and 623 earned runs. They have allowed 218 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. He has 103 strikeouts over his 96.1 innings pitched and he's given up 93 hits. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.95. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9.

Nick Senzel homered in his only at-bat against Smyly, who allowed one run over three innings of relief against the Reds on June 14 while with Texas. The Arkansas native allowed one run in his first 13 frames after joining the Phillies on July 21, but he is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA and has given up nine homers over 25 innings in his five starts since. Smyly's month-long struggles continued in his fourth straight no-decision Tuesday against Pittsburgh, as he surrendered four runs - including a pair of homers - over 5 2/3 innings.

= (Chances Game Going OVER) The C.O.G.O. percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our math predictor, we then provide a CHANCES OF COVERING percentage for that game, which lets you know if theres any value on the OVER in that game. C.O.G.O. *Note: If theres a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, theres a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

From a pitching standpoint, the Reds hold the edge, besting Philadelphia in total ERA, fewer walks, more strikeouts and a better batting average against. On the year, the Phillies have a team ERA of 4.20 at home whereas Cincinnati has the second-best road ERA in baseball, just 3.47. In fact, the Reds dont just outrank the Phillies but much of MLB as they are top-5 in several pitching stats including many of those mentioned above.

Although not an impressive record, the Reds did try their best. Out of 71 games at home, Cincinnati Reds lost 33 and won 38. Cincinnati Reds were one of those moderate teams this year and they were unable to remain in the National League Central Division race. Joey Votto and Michael Lorenzen went deep from the plate last night against Philadelphia and overall they are 14 games behind the first place on their league.

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Andrew has been with Sports Chat Place since 2012, contributing to football, baseball and basketball across the fantasy,college and professional ranks. His goal is to break down the complicated trends and numbers into a language that's accessible even if you're not a seasoned sports bettor, providing comprehensive insight that can apply to just about everyone.

The Reds have been successful with Gray in most of his starts. However, he has not been good with New York. The 29-year-old player is holding an ERA of 2.80 and is 10-6 on the season. Cincinnati Reds will turn in Sonny Gray as their starter on Thursday against Philadelphia. Overall, the righty has taken out 174 opponent hitters in a span of 151 plus frames and he owns a sparkling 1.12 WHIP.