Georgia Southern (@1.22) vs South Alabama (@4.2)
04-10-2019

Our Prediction:

Georgia Southern will win

Georgia Southern – South Alabama Match Prediction | 04-10-2019 19:30

Jordan McCray led the team with 4 catches for 72 yards while Jamarius Way racked up 66 yards on 3 receptions. Cole Garvin threw for 343 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 25 of 45 passing, while Tra Minter added a rushing TD of his own for the Jags in the win. Defensively, the Jaguars put up 4 sacks to match their 4 interceptions, all while holding Arkansas State to 365 yards of total offense and a 6 for 15 mark on 3rd down in the win. The South Alabama Jaguars come into this one looking to build some momentum after snapping a mini 2 game losing streak with a 24-19 win over Arkansas State in their last outing. Malik Stanley led the team with 6 catches for 60 yards, while Sam Harris and Kawaan Baker each added a receiving touchdown in the win for South Alabama.

Their passing defense is one of the mediocre units in Division 1. South Alabama is making teams consider moving more up into the box by averaging 193.4 yards on the ground per game, putting them 45th in college football. For the 2019 season, they have given up a total of 897 yards on the ground and 7 rushing TDs. For yards through the air allowed per game, the Jaguars are ranked 4th in the Sun Belt Conference. When talking about points given up, they have allowed 156 total points. The Jaguars come into this matchup with a record of 1-4. The Jaguars are conceding 31.2 points per game which puts them at 6th in the Sun Belt Conference and 102nd in college football. The Jaguars average 333.4 yards per game overall ranking them 108th in college football and 8th in the Sun Belt. As a team, they have compiled a total of 967 yards rushing through 5 contests, so they'll look to the run game to try to keep the opponents off balance so they'll have open receivers. They are conceding 223.6 passing yards per contest. In regard to rushing yards, they are allowing 179.4 yards per contest which puts them at 100th in Division 1 and 6th in the conference.

Georgia Southern Highlights

Logan Wright is leading the ground game with 248 yards and two touchdowns while quarterback Justin Tomlin has run for 193 yards and two scores while throwing for 162 yards. Matt LaRoche has also rushed for 190 yards. That includes just 49.8 passing yards per game. Defensively, the Eagles are giving up 36.3 points and 413.3 yards per contest. The Georgia Southern offense is pretty weak, averaging just 21.3 points and 251.5 yards per game.

According to the latest oddsmakers, Georgia Southern is favored on the road, as the Eagles are getting odds of -11.5 points against the Jaguars. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game. The over/under total is listed at 47 points. The public betting currently has 82 percent going on Georgia Southern as the road favorite.

In their last outing, the South Alabama Jaguars played the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks and were defeated 30-17. He rushed for 150 yards on 19 carries which had him averaging 7.9 yards per run. He earned an average of 11.0 yards per reception for that contest. Tra Minter led the team on the ground for that contest. He tore off a long run of 40 yards but he wasn't able to run one in for a touchdown. On the ground, the Jaguars conceded 144 yards on 30 attempts which means they allowed 4.8 yards per carry allowed. When it comes to their defensive performance, South Alabama conceded 17 catches on 25 tries totaling 286 yards, and a completion percentage of 68.0%. He walked away with 1 interception in the game. The South Alabama Jaguars ran the ball 52 times and earned a total of 263 yards which had them averaging 5.1 yards per rushing attempt. Jalen Tolbert was the leader in receiving yardage with a total of 44 yards on 4 receptions. Overall, they conceded a total of 430 yards but finished the game without a turnover. In all, they ran 78 plays which added up to 377 yards. In the game, the Jaguars earned a total of 24 1st downs and they totaled 6 penalties for 46 yards which tells us that they had an average outing in terms of discipline. Running the show from under center for the Jaguars was Cephus Johnson who went 14/26 with 114 yards passing but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass.

ATS Trends

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and producewinners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

Shai Werts and Kado Brown combined to throw for 80 yards on 10 of 17 passing, while Wesley Fields led the Eagles in rushing with 37 yards on 8 carries. Defensively, the Eagles gave up 417 yards of total offense to App State in the loss. The aforementioned Werts added 34 yards on 17 carries, while Malik Henry led the Eagles receiving corps with 4 catches for 45 yards in the losing effort. The Georgia Southern Eagles will still be looking for their first win of the season after dropping to 0-9 with a 27-6 loss to Appalachian State.

Running back Tra Minter has been leading the team with 432 rushing yards and two touchdowns while quarterback Cephus Johnson has thrown for 514 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 192 yards and four scores. Kawaan Baker is the teams leading receiver with 12 catches for 227 yards and two touchdowns. The Jaguars are putting up just 16.8 points and 333.4 yards per game on offense this year, while the defense is giving up 31.2 points and 402.6 yards per contest.

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The Eagles are 1-2-0 ATS and 2-1-0 when betting on the total. South Alabama opens this matchup as 13-point underdogs. Ladd-Peebles Stadium is the venue where Cephus Johnson and the South Alabama Jaguars will play the Georgia Southern Eagles on Thursday. The Jaguars are 1-3-0 when wagering on the over/under and 1-3-0 against the spread.

They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.8 yards per rush ranking them 3rd in the conference and 56th in Division 1 overall. As a team, they have an average of 201.8 yards on the ground per contest which is 6th in the Sun Belt Conference. When it comes to passing yards, the Eagles have conceded 199 yards. Teams are completing 61.8% of the throws they are attempting against them and averaging 8.2 yards per try. The Eagles come into this game with a record of 1-3 in 2019. The Eagles have one of the worst defenses in college football, giving up 36.3 points per contest putting them 9th in the conference. They are one of lowest scoring teams in the nation averaging 21.3 points per contest, ranking them 112th in the country. For total yardage, they sit in 11th in the conference and 131st in the country with 1,006 yards. In terms of yards on the ground, Georgia Southern is giving up 135.5 yards per contest which has them at 3rd in the Sun Belt Conference and 53rd in college football. In total, they have allowed 542 rushing yards through 4 games.

In their last game, the Georgia Southern Eagles faced the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns and lost 37-24. On the day, they ran 68 plays which gave them a total of 252 yards. For this contest, they conceded 440 yards and forced 2 turnovers. He notched an average of 6.0 yards per reception in the game. He walked away with no picks. For the game, the Eagles racked up a total of 18 1st downs and they had 3 penalties for 35 yards telling us that they had a strong outing in terms of discipline. He rushed for a total of 93 yards by way of 21 carries which means he ran for an average of 4.4 yards per run. He tore off a long run of 21 yards but he never crossed the endzone by way of the rush. When discussing the defense, Georgia Southern allowed 11 catches on 18 attempts totaling 165 yards, and a completion percentage of 61.1%. The Georgia Southern Eagles rushed the ball a total of 56 times and racked up a total of 215 yards earning them an average of 3.8 yards per rush. In the running game, the Eagles allowed 275 yards on 41 carries which gave the opponent an average of 6.7 yards per run allowed. Shai Werts led the team on the ground in the game. Leading the way at QB for the Eagles was Shai Werts who went 6/12 with 37 yards passing but wasn't able to get any balls in the endzone via the pass. NaJee Thompson led the team in receiving yardage by earning 24 yards on 4 receptions.

What this boils down to for me is simply the fact that Georgia Southern has shown us nothing to give us any confidence that theyd be able to get a cover let alone a win at home here. South Alabama has the weapons to put points on the board, something that the Eagles have lacked to this point this season, so Ill lay the points with the Jaguars here.

Get the consensus from the top 10 users most likely to be right on tonight's matchup below. 51% of the community is betting South Alabama Jaguars will win tonight. The Georgia Southern Eagles are favored by vegas at a line of -10. The opening line was -13 so the public has been betting on South Alabama Jaguars causing the GASOU line to shift +3.

Georgia Southern is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall. South Alabama is 13-30 ATS in their last 43 games overall and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 conference games.